Shares of Constellation Energy (CEG) surged more than 25% on Friday following the announcement of its $26.6 billion deal to acquire rival Calpine. This sharp rise in stock price has investors closely monitoring the company’s technical chart as it sets new all-time highs and positions itself for further growth.
The acquisition, which includes both stock and cash components, will also absorb approximately $12.7 billion of Calpine’s debt. The deal expands Constellation’s presence in key markets such as Texas, California, and the Northeast, strengthening its competitive edge in the energy sector.
The strong stock performance continues a remarkable upward trajectory for Constellation Energy, with shares more than doubling in value over the past year and climbing 36% year-to-date (YTD) as of Friday’s close. The company’s robust growth is driven by surging power demand, partly fueled by the increasing energy needs of artificial intelligence (AI) computing resources. Additionally, Constellation’s plan to restart the Three Mile Island Unit 1 nuclear plant in Pennsylvania to support Microsoft’s data centers has added further momentum to the stock.
Technical Outlook and Price Targets
The technical charts reveal a breakout from a falling wedge pattern earlier this month, followed by a retracement to the pattern’s upper trendline before a sharp breakaway gap on Friday, propelling the stock to a new all-time high. The surge in trading volume – the third highest since Constellation Energy went public in 2022 – signals strong institutional and hedge fund interest.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) currently reads above 70, indicating bullish momentum but also pointing to potentially overbought conditions, which could trigger short-term profit-taking.
To assess potential future gains, technical analysis suggests an upside target of around $350, roughly 15% above Friday’s closing price. This target is derived from the bars pattern tool, which projects price movements based on the uptrend preceding the falling wedge breakout. The pattern’s previous breakaway gap of over 20% further supports the notion that Constellation’s stock could maintain its upward momentum in the coming weeks before any consolidation.
Key Support Levels
Investors should also keep an eye on critical support levels. Price retracements could see the stock testing support around $280 and $236, which could act as buffers against deeper pullbacks. These levels will be key in determining whether Constellation Energy’s momentum can sustain in the short to medium term.
As Constellation Energy’s stock continues to react to news and technical factors, market participants will be looking for further confirmation of the company’s growth trajectory and the impact of its strategic acquisition of Calpine.
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